I am a private lender and real estate investor. I also partner in a small hedge fund that is not real estate related (Similar to day trading, but futures rather than equities). It is the best time in the last 15 years to get into real estate in many markets. Resort areas, resort properties, are not indicative of the real estate investing most Americans do. When you subtrac the numbers from California, Florida, Arizona, Vegas, the area around Boston, you get a much milder "crisis". Like the gentleman in the post before saying "You would have to be out of your Mind....", his is right....in his area. We can take advantage of that disparity with the Headlines going national, but the real damage being unevenly disbursed. Many areas of the country are down less than five percent. Very few are down the 50% the gentleman implies. In fact, outside of the condo market in Florida, Vegas, Phoenix, and the home market in coastal California, no major market come close to approaching that drop. Just has not happened. Could it happen? Yes, but where else would your money be protected?
I have bought and sold over one hundred properties already this year and hope to do another hundred before the year is out. Iregularly do over two hundred a year. It can be done, you can make money. There are risks, however, no investment affords the leverage of real estate with a somewhat limited downside risk.
Are we at the bottom? No. It doesn't truly matter to me as long as I am picking off the current "mistakes" the banks are making. I am looking to buy for 50 cents on the dollar or less. I don't really care if Case/Schiller index drops another 1.6 percent. I am much more concerrned about the availability of credit and elimination of seller financed down payment assistance.
Please remember, that this is the enviironment in which great fortunes are made. They were during the S and L crisis and they will be now. When the papers are reading "Gloom and Doom" the wise man is readying to strike.
I think is was no less financial wizards than the "Red Hot Chili Peppers" who said "Destruction leads to a very rough time but it also breeds creation".
Be wise. Study your markets. Use common sense, and take advantage of the "sale" in your areas if it make sense for you.